Thursday, May 3, 2007
May 03
I was really impressed by Rogowski's model. Although I do believe that there are other factors than trade that effect political alignments in states, I find his examples quite accurate, and it is apparent that trade has a very big role in political alignments. We can assume that the capital and land abundant states (upper left cell in the model:socialist in expanding trade environment) is most likely to invest and have trade relationships with the labor abundant states which lack capital (bottom right cell:capitalist in expanding trade environment). As the relationship between U.S. and China. Yet in India, which shares similar characteristics to China in their capital, land and labor, socialism has greatly failed. Other factors are necessary for prediction.
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Well said, sir. Rogowski, as mentioned in class, bites off a lot with a relatively simple model. But there is little doubt that other factors are necessary to explain all the variation we see out there in the world. And Rogowski would need to offer more in the way of evidence to really support his model. There is a book-length version of this article (called Commerce and Coalitions), if you are interested, but you have the essence of his argument from this abridged version.
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